MLB DFS Value Plays: October 2nd
October 2, 2016 | Matt Terelle
Welcome to the final edition of value plays for the season. I hope you enjoyed reading this as much as I enjoyed hunting down value plays. Enjoy playoff baseball and I’ll see you in 2017!
Looking for some value plays to help fill out those lineups today? You came to the right place! These are some of my favorite values for today across DraftKings and FanDuel. On most days I will try to outline one pitcher and four hitters who are shaping up as excellent value plays for the upcoming slate. Please note there isn’t a specific price cut off, instead, I will try to highlight players who should outperform their prices on a given day. Let’s get to today’s values.
Matt Moore (P) – San Francisco Giants
vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
$7,400 DraftKings, $8,000 FanDuel
Moore’s been a mixed bag against the Dodgers, coming close to no-hitting them last month and getting lit up for six runs in one inning the last time they faced one another. I’m going to lean on the Dodgers’ struggles against left-handed pitching and fire up Moore for lineups today. On the season, Los Angeles ranks last in batting average and wOBA, and 28th in ISO. With numbers like those, something tells me Moore’s disastrous outing against the Dodgers last time out was an outlier.
Manny Machado (3B/SS) – Baltimore Orioles
@ New York Yankees (SP-Luis Cessa, RHP)
$2,900 DK, $3,300 FD
Machado showed signs of breaking out of a two-week long slump with his 37th home run last night and his price on DraftKings has further plummeted all the way down to $2,900. Yankees starter Luis Cessa has struggled to limit opposing batters this season, allowing 15 home runs in 64.2 innings of work. For what it’s worth, Machado has two long balls in three career at-bats against Cessa. A hitter with the upside of Machado needs to be considered at these low prices.
Manuel Margot (OF)- San Diego Padres
@ Arizona Diamondbacks (SP-Matt Koch, RHP)
$3,000 DK, $2,900 FD
Margot’s blend of power and speed has made him one of the top hitting prospects in the San Diego pipeline and so far he’s delivered on the big league stage as well. He’s put up a .273 batting average, three RBI, four runs, and two stolen bases in his first nine major league games. He will also enjoy a huge park boost as he will be hitting in Chase Field, one of the league’s best hitting parks, instead of his pitcher-friendly home field.
Jose Abreu (1B) – Chicago White Sox
vs. Minnesota Twins (SP-Jose Berrios, RHP)
$3,900 DK, $3,200 FD
Jose Abreu pulls a prime matchup against Twins rookie Jose Berrios this afternoon. Berrios has really had a tough time against opposing right-handed batters in his debut season, allowing them to rack up a .440 wOBA. Abreu has handled right-handed pitching well over his three-year career, posting a .214 ISO and the Cuban slugger has put together a productive final month of the season, batting .300 with five homers and 23 RBI.
Tyler Naquin (OF) – Cleveland Indians
@ Kansas City Royals (SP-Ian Kennedy, RHP)
$3,100 DK, $2,700 FD
Naquin will be looking to put the finishing touches on what was an excellent rookie campaign for him. He’s handled right-handed quite well in his debut season, posting a .381 wOBA and .227 ISO with 14 homers. He will take on Ian Kennedy in today’s season finale, a pitcher who has struggled to limit home runs over the past few seasons. The veteran right-hander is allowing 1.49 home runs per nine innings to left-handed batters in 2016.
Thanks for reading, be sure to follow me on Twitter @supermt. Good luck with your lineups!
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