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Remember, the MLB is volatile as far as injuries, players resting, weather, etc… so always be sure to keep up with the latest news so you don’t get stuck with a dud. I prefer to use Baseball Press for my lineup news and Twitter for my up to the second information. Be sure to follow us @TheFakeBaseball and check out this good list of MLB Beat Reporters.
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Click on the thumbnails to see tonight’s cheat sheet
FANDUEL LINEUP BREAKDOWN
Disclaimer: First make sure all of the players chosen here are active, as the lineups are done well in advance. Some players chosen may not have been mentioned on the main cheat sheet, but will usually follow a similar strategy of facing a weak pitcher who is worse against either lefties or righties. Make your own judgement calls as well. If you notice one of the players here are sitting and a bench player is getting a start and is hitting near the top of the order, then by all means take a chance and save some salary.
With all games available, I will be going with Wainwright, who is my top pitcher of the day. I’m taking a mini-stack approach with part of my lineup. By taking a top pitcher, my mini-stacks will have to be from cheaper teams. The Astros are one of those teams and I like the GPP appeal of Castro and Singleton. Same with the Reds, I like the GPP appeal of Frazier and Negron. No more stacking, but I’m going to finish off with some hot hitters. Alexei, Reddick, and Kemp are all red hot, with good matchups. Khris Davis homered last night and has been sitting, on occasion, in favor of Parra, but when he homers – there’s almost always another one to follow.
For early only, I’m going with the top pitcher available, in Zimmermann. For the offense, I have no shame, so I’m going the easy route and targeting the Coors game. Rajai Davis is the only player that’s no from that game, but I like him hitting leadoff in Yankee Stadium. From the Cubs, I am maxing them out, with Rizzo, Castillo, Alcantara, and Castro. From the Rockies, I have Arenado, CarGo, and Blackmon. Obviously this team is relying on lots of Coors Field scoring, but I feel good about that.
For the late games, I am taking more of a risk with pitching and going with McHugh. He’s a high upside/risk play that is necessary to separate my team from the field. I only have one mini-stack on this team and it’s Reyes and Bautista from Toronto. The Jays are one of my favorite targets today. Revere, Altuve, and Marte (and Reyes) are all guys that can steal like crazy, and most of their value will rely on just that. So, there’s risk there too, but I like them all today. Pujols and Seager (and Bautista) are the guys that I’m hoping to get some power from. Perez is a safe, mid-priced catcher, with a good matchup – rounding out my team.
Odds, Park Factors, HR Weather, Opp Avg/K%, Totals
The chart above allows you to see the pitcher’s record, ERA and his team’s bullpen WHIP. Then as you follow the row to the right you will see the park factors for HRs for righty/lefties (the higher the easier it is for them to hit HRs), then we get into the opposing team’s wOBA, either against lefty/righty or home/away. I’ve highlighted the appropriate wOBA numbers depending on if the pitcher is a righty/lefty or they are home/away. We then go to the opposing team’s wOBA over the last two weeks to see how they have been hitting lately, then how often the opposing team strikes out, then their runs per game and then the vegas odds and the weather forecast. This chart should help you find pitchers who have good matchups and hitters who have the same.
To best utilize the sortable stats, sort using the search box. Here are some examples.
Example: Enter “SS” in the search box and you will see all the shortstops playing today. Then you can sort just the splits for shortstops.
Example: Enter “OF * ” if you want to see all the OFs and their stats just for the matchup they have, H/L, H/A.
Example: Enter “BOS@CWS” and you will see just the players in that game and their splits.
Example: Enter “Jose Bautista” and see just his splits.
Remember, the “*” denotes if a player is at Home, Away or is facing a Lefty or Righty. Let’s take Jason Heyward as an example. Below I have typed “Jason Heyward ” into the search box for the Hitter Lefty/Righty Splits. You can see that he hits righties at a much better rate than he does lefties and the asterisk denotes that he is facing a righty in this example, so he is worth looking into.
We then check to see who he is facing and how he’s done against them in the past by going to the Batter vs. Pitcher stats and inputting his name. This shows he faces lefty A.J. Burnett and that he’s hit him well in a small sample size.
I then like to see how well a pitcher does against lefty/righties and home/away. Getting a player that hits the splits well and is facing a pitcher that pitches to the hitters splits and also if the hitter has been hitting well recently, is a great way to to find viable plays for that day.
Downloadable Stats (all the stats below, but in an excel file): MLB Stats 8_7
These stats show how the hitter has fared against the pitcher he faces today. If the two have never faced each other, the hitter will not be on this list.[table “36” not found /]
These stats show the hitter’s numbers against left and right-handed pitchers using this season’s data.
FDP: Total FanDuel Points vs L/R
FDP/AB: FanDuel Points Per At Bat L/R[table “37” not found /]
These stats show the hitter’s numbers at home or away using this season’s data.[table “38” not found /]
These are today’s starting pitchers stats when facing right handed and left handed hitters for this season’s data.[table “39” not found /]
These are today’s starting pitchers stats based home/away splits for this season’s data.[table “40” not found /]
These stats show the hitter’s numbers against left and right-handed pitchers using the last 3 years of data.[table “41” not found /]
These stats show the hitter’s numbers at home or away using the last 3 years of data.[table “42” not found /]
These are today’s starting pitchers stats when facing right handed and left handed hitters for the last 3 years of data.[table “43” not found /]
These are today’s starting pitchers stats based home/away splits for the last 3 years of data.[table “44” not found /]
These are the stats for hitters within the last ten days to show who is riding a hot streak.
LD%: Line Drive % shows us how “on” a player is. If he’s seeing the ball well, he’ll be hitting more line drives.[table “45” not found /]
These are the stats for hitters within the last 14 days to show who is riding a hot streak.
LD%: Line Drive % shows us how “on” a player is. If he’s seeing the ball well, he’ll be hitting more line drives.[table “46” not found /]