FanDuel MLB Picks: 9/12
September 12, 2017 | Justin Klein
Good morning and or afternoon my fellow fake-baseballers. Tuesday’s not gone yet. We have a mostly full slate of baseball on tap as 14 of the 15 games scheduled are connected to the guaranteed prize pool contests that begin at 7:05 EST. All of the games except for CHW at KC. Be sure to note that FanDuel has added the Late Swap feature for 2017; meaning your players aren’t necessarily locked into their respective slots until their game begins. That’s important to know for a number of reasons, but a big added bonus of this feature is having to worry less about guys being scratched late and the dreaded rain-out. Another thing to keep in mind about this feature is that it will certainly impact ownership percentages. Having West coast players in your lineup at the time the Main contests begin will give players the flexibility to change their mind and swap players once play has already begun on the East coast. Good luck!
Before we get into the player selections and analysis, let’s take a quick look at Vegas lines that could be of interest to us – especially if you’re looking to stack a team or two. From a run total standpoint (alternatively, the over/under line) there’s one game that really sticks out and it’s SEA at TEX with an O/U of 11.5. After that we have two games with an O/U of 9.5 and three games with an O/U of 9. As for money lines the biggest favorite is Corey Kluber and the team from Cleveland with the racist mascot at an enormous -500. That’s the largest margin that I’ve ever seen. Then there’s Clayton Kershaw and the Dodgers at -278 and Jose Quintana and the Cubs at -275. In this article, I will be providing you with my daily fantasy baseball lineup picks for FanDuel on 9/12/17. The DFS lineup picks will range from some of the elite players to mid-priced options and value plays on FanDuel. If you have any questions feel free to ping me on twitter. I’ll be around most of the afternoon.
Fanduel Stack Of The Day
My favorite team to stack is the Texas Rangers as they play host to LHP Marco Gonzales and the Mariners at Globe Life Park in Texas. While he’s only tossed 50 and 2/3 innings pitched against RHH in his young career Gonzales has allowed them a healthy triple slash of .326/.396/.540 with a wOBA of .401. On the road those numbers go up to .354/.448/.585 and .443. Yikes. Because of this I want all of the right handed Rangers that I can get. The fact that they’re fairly cheap also helps, as I want to use an expensive ace and a few pricey bats along with my Rangers stack.
FanDuel DFS Starting Pitchers
Corey Kluber – P, vs DET ($11,800)
Corey Kluber and the racist mascot having team from Cleveland are going for their 20th straight win and are the largest favorites that I’ve ever seen in baseball at an enormous -500. Basically every single factor points to a Cleveland win. Not only has their offense been on fire, but Kluber has been the best pitcher in the game for months. Over the second half he’s allowed a miniscule .233 wOBA while posting a 112:10 K:BB ratio across 82 and 1/3 innings pitched. Yowza. At Fanduel he’s averaged 49.9 fantasy points per game this season, but managed to better that in three of his last four outings. The one outing where he didn’t he notched a mere 49 points. He’s expensive, but if you’re ever going to shell out nearly 12K for the Klubot tonight is the night.
Clayton Kershaw – P, at SF ($11,600)
I can’t remember the last time that Kerhaw wasn’t the best and most expensive pitching option at Fanduel, but then again I also don’t remember the team from Cleveland winning 19 straight or Kerhsaw serving up four earned runs on six hits and three walks in less than four innings pitched like he did his last time out. So here we are. Kershaw might not the be the biggest favorite on the Tuesday slate, but don’t let that blind you from the fact that he’s still a terrific play in every format. That’s because Kerhsaw and company will face the Giants in the pitcher friendly confines of AT&T Park in San Francisco. The Giants happen to rank 29th in runs scored, 30th in OPS and in HR (which is seemingly Clayton’s only bugaboo this season when healthy).
FanDuel DFS Infielders
Travis d’Arnaud – C, at CHC ($2,800)
While Travis has had a relatively poor season by his standards he has managed to remain mostly healthy and he’s fared rather well against LHP. This season against southpaws he’s posted a solid .243 ISO, 399 wOBA and a 151 wRC+. On the road those numbers go up to .361 ISO, .436 wOBA and a wRC+ of 175. Quintana is a good LHP, so I wouldn’t expect crazy good numbers this evening, but I can’t avoid d’Arnaud against a lefty for less than 3K. Especially when he’ll likely bat cleanup for the Mets.
Mike Napoli – 1B, vs SEA ($2,700)
Mike Napoli has had a down year, but he’s still managed to belt 29 dingers and he may very well add to that total on Tuesday night in Texas. That’s because Napoli and the Rangers face LHP Marco Gonzales and the Mariners at the hitter friendly confines of Globe Life Park. This season Mike has posted a .274 ISO against southpaws and he’s a good cheap bet to go yard. If you’re going to pay up for Kluber or one of the other expensive aces you should probably be pairing them with value plays like Napoli.
Jose Ramirez – 2B, vs DET ($3,800)
I’m not sure how you can avoid using Jose Ramirez today, unless of course he’s not in Cleveland’s starting lineup. Ramirez has been lighting the world on fire this season and causing just about every pitcher he faces lots of pain in the process. On Tuesday night Jose and his teammates will face off with LHP Matt Boyd and the Tigers depleted bullpen. That bodes well for Ramirez and his owners in the fake game as he’s posted a .377 wOBA against LHP this season. It also helps that he’s coming in hot as he’s collected nine hits in his last 18 at bats including three doubles and six HR.
Jake Lamb – 3B, vs COL ($3,100)
Yes Lamb was fantastic during the first half but has yet again seen his production tail off in the second half. Because of his lack of production his cost is down to a fairly low $3,100 and that’s a steal of a deal when he faces a RHP. On Tuesday night Lamb and the snakes will play host to RHP Jon Gray and the Rockies at home at the hitter friendly confines of Chase Field. This bodes well for Jake and those that are smart enough to roster him as he’s crushed RHP to the tune of a .266 ISO, .386 wOBA and a wRC+ of 133. In the 11 at bats where Lamb has faced Gray he’s managed four hits including two doubles with just as many walks as strikeouts (1:1).
Elvis Andrus – SS, vs SEA ($4,000)
Elvis Andrus has been magnificent this season as he’s averaged an astounding 12.3 FPPG (the exact same number as Jose Ramirez). I expect those big numbers to continue on Tuesday night as Andrus and the Rangers face LHP Marco Gonzales and the Mariners. That’s because Elvis has smacked up LHP to the tune of a .233 ISO, .365 wOBA and a 124 wRC+ this season. Meanwhile Marco has allowed RHH a .401 wOBA thus far over his young MLB career.
FanDuel DFS Outfielders
Delino DeShields – OF, vs SEA ($3,200)
As I’ve noted above with Andrus and Napoli the Rangers will play host to LHP Marco Gonzales and the Mariners on Tuesday evening at Globe Life Park. This bodes well for Rangers leadoff man DeShields as he’s posted a stellar .357/.438/.539 triple slash with a .232 ISO, .434 wOBA and a wRC+ of 170 at home against LHP this season. In most cases base thieves run less against southpaws, but that isn’t the case with Delino, as he’s swiped 12 of his 28 SB against LHP and that’s with 100 less at bats against southpaws this season. On a night where I expect the Rangers to pile on the runs I want their lead off hitter in all of my lineups and I implore you to join me.
Sean Rodriguez – OF, at MIL ($2,000)
Perennial Brewer killer Sean Rodriguez comes into Milwaukee and seemingly always puts up big numbers at Miller Park. Maybe I just remember the big hits, but either way Rodriguez is a solid value play on Tuesday evening as his Pirates face LHP Brent Sutor and the Brewers. That’s because Sean has notched a solid .393 OBP with a .222 ISO, .368 wOBA and a wRC+ of 128 against LHP this season.
Rajai Davis – OF, vs OAK ($2,400)
Rajai and the Red Sox face struggling LHP Sean Manaea and the A’s at Fenway Park on Tuesday evening. As long as Davis is at or near the top of the Red Sox starting lineup I like him as a solid value play. That’s because he’s posted a useful .318/.357/.500 triple slash with a .182 ISO, .359 wOBA and a 125 wRC+ at home against LHP this season. He’s also swiped 10 bases against LHP this season across just 118 at bats against them. With 29 hits and 11 walks that’s a ratio of a SB one in every four times he gets on base against a lefty this season. I like it a lot.