Justin Klein’s May 31st Player Rankings Update
May 31, 2016 | Justin Klein
The biggest risers this week are Gregory Polanco, Marcell Ozuna, Matt Holliday, Nate Karns, Sam Dyson and C.C. Sabathia. Polanco is likely due for a little regression in the batting average department, as he is currently sporting a .357 BABIP, but his power has taken a giant leap forward thus far this season. His current ISO of .250 is exactly twice as high as it was last season. Much of that is due to the fact that Polanco is making harder contact more often and has immensely raised his line drive right while lowering his ground ball rate. Gregory is also pulling the ball much more often and doing so with authority. And it’s not like he’s trading doubles for HR’s as he’s notched 18 doubles already to go with his 2 triples and 8 HR’s. Ozuna has been much luckier than Polanco, but he’s also shown a growth in power. His growth is harder to explain and likely a bit more suspect. Holliday is a different case as the veteran slugger has actually been unlucky in the BABIP department while pulling the ball more and making much more hard contact than he had last season. It also helps that he’s batting 3rd for the Cardinals more often as that should pad his counting numbers and increase his floor while healthy. Sam Dyson has taken over the closing gig for the Rangers and seen a jump in value as a result; while Karns and Sabathia have raised their game quite a bit this season. For more on them be sure to check out the Stock Report tomorrow, as both players will be featured.
The biggest fallers this week are Mike Moustakes, Shawn Tolleson, Brandon Belt, Troy Tulowitzki and Yasiel Puig. Moustakes tore his ACL and is out for the remainder of the season and Tolleson lost his job as the closer for the Rangers. Belt has regressed in the power department as his fly ball percentage has increased, yet his home run to fly ball ratio has plummeted. Troy Tulowitzki managed a .232 BABIP (99 points lower than last season) before landing on the DL with a strained quad. Hopefully his luck turns after he heals up. That said, he is one of the most injury prone athletes in the league, and I wouldn’t be shocked if there was another DL stint in his future this season. Puig has struggled mightily this season, and although he’s been a bit unlucky, he’s also made a great deal of his own bad luck. His line drive rate and home run to fly ball ratio are both way down as he’s making more soft contact and pulling the ball much more often with poor results. It certainly doesn’t help that his BB% is under 5%.