Prospect Stock Report 6.9.17
June 9, 2017 | Justin Klein
Sean Newcomb is going to make his MLB debut on Saturday against the New York Mets at home at Sun Trust Park in Atlanta, Georgia. Newcomb is one of the best prospects in the Braves system and a consensus top 100 prospect in baseball with Baseball Prospectus having the highest overall ranking of forty-fourth. Sean is a left handed starting pitcher with a fastball that touches the upper nineties and sits around 95 MPH. He compliments that with a big curveball that flashes as a plus pitch and a changeup that is okay but doesn’t project as better than average. This season for Triple-A Gwinnett Newcomb posted an impressive 2.97 ERA, 3.22 FIP and a 3.97 xFIP with a 11.55 K/9 but also a 5.15 BB/9. So Sean can strikeout a bunch of guys but may also walk the house. At least he doesn’t give up many HR as Newcomb has never posted a HR/9 above 0.50 at any level above A ball. Seems similar to Blake Snell to me, but the comp that baseball Prospectus so illustriously used was a “less good Andrew Miller.” Right now you can go and pick up Sean Newcomb for free in 92% of Yahoo leagues. I would suggest grabbing him in any sort of deep league or keeper or dynasty league where he’s still available. If you need strikeouts in a head to head league he’s a good streamer as well. Otherwise I would consider watching him to see how he does. There’s a good amount of upside here, but the floor is very low considering the lack of experience and Newcomb’s penchant for handing out free passes.
Jacob Faria debuted for the Rays this past week as he took on the White Sox at home at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, FL. Faria notched a win his first time out as he allowed one earned run on three hits and two walks while striking out five over six and one third innings pitched. Unfortunately for Faria and his owners in the fake game he’s already been sent back down to Triple-A. Now that Matt Andriese is back in the Rays rotation it may take an injury or a trade to clear a spot for Jacob, but that will likely be the case at some point later on in the season. That’s because Faria notched a 3.07 ERA, 3.20 FIP, 2.52 xFIP, a 12.89 K.9 and a 3.38 BB/9 across 58 and two thirds innings pitched at Triple-A this season. Those numbers were improvements across the board from the 67 and two thirds innings that he pitched at Triple-A in 2016. Currently available in 94% of Yahoo leagues Jacob is a good player to add in all types of keeper or dynasty leagues and in deep leagues as well. He could be back up in a matter of weeks or months so it’s hard to tell when he’ll be back in the rotation. The fact that Blake Snell is also likely going to come back up at some points clouds the issue even further. In any case Faria looks like he can help most fake teams across the board, so the situation is definitely worth monitoring.
Francis Martes was called up on Thursday and is easily the highest profiled prospect on this list. The reason he is buried down here is because he was assigned to the Houston Astros bullpen and therefore will be limited to long relief or short relief appearances for now. There’s a chance that he could make a spot start in a pinch, but that’s unlikely to be the case. For now Martes will work out of the bullpen where his high nineties fastball and his 11-5 curveball should play up. When Francis reaches back he can hit triple digits on the radar gun, so it will be interesting to see how his stuff plays in a relief role. While Martes has been groomed as a starting pitcher he’s had a rough season at Triple-A this year as he’s notched a 5.29 ERA and a 5.94 FIP along with a 10.58 K.9 and a 7.79 BB/9. He’s been unlucky as he’s allowed a .380 BABIP, but he’s also allowed a HR to fly ball ratio of 13.2%. And I don’t care how many people you strike out or how unlucky you’ve been when you walk almost 8 players per game. That’s just too many walks. Currently available in 96% of Yahoo leagues it will be interesting to see how Houston deploys their young flamethrower and how much they use him. If Martes is able to limit the amount of free passes he issues he could possibly become yet another hybrid relief pitcher for the Astros in the mold of a Chris Devenski. If that were the case Francis would be worth adding in every format. For now he should just be monitored in most formats and added in any sort of keeper and in deeper or only leagues. Be ready to pounce or drop in redrafts as is needed.
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