Working the Waiver Wire 8.21.16
August 21, 2016 | Zach Jacobson
Position eligibility and ownership percentages are for Yahoo leagues.
Homer Bailey, SP (32%): Since returning from Tommy John surgery three weeks ago, Homer Bailey has been solid with a 3.66 ERA in 19.2 innings pitched. More impressively, he is striking out 12.36 batters per nine innings while boasting a 2.28 FIP. His 93.5 mph fastball is consistent with his pre-2015 velocity, and he’s still generating ground balls at an above-average rate. Barring an injury, you can expect a 3.50-ish ERA with 8 K/9 going forward.
Ray’s 2016 results have been mediocre at best, but his 4.70 ERA belies how well he’s actually pitched. Strikeouts minus walks is the best predictor of a pitcher’s future in-season success, and Ray is currently 12th among qualified starters with a 19% K-BB%. He still has poor command, but he had nearly an identical walk rate in 2015 and was able to manage a 3.52 ERA. Anticipate Ray’s ERA to be closer to the high-3s rest of season, but don’t expect the inordinately high strikeout rate to continue.
In 4 starts since then, Ray has a 2.52 ERA with 31 strikeouts and just 5 walks in 25 innings pitched. His stellar August has moved him up to 6th among qualified starters in K-BB%. At this point Ray should be owned in all but the shallowest of leagues.
Keon Broxton, OF (18%): Need stolen bases? Broxton is your man. In just 157 plate appearances this season, he’s managed to steal 17 bases in 18 attempts. Oh, and he’s also hit 4 home runs. If he gets 100 plate appearances the rest of the way, he should provide something like 2-3 home runs and 8 steals. The dude is fast, and that’s worth an add in most leagues.
Alex Dickerson, OF (12%): Thanks to trades and injuries, San Diego’s current outfield consists of Alex Dickerson, Patrick Kivlehan, and Jabari Blash. While the latter two aren’t worth your consideration, Dickerson is an intriguing fantasy option. Though he was never regarded as a top prospect, Dickerson has performed at every level and holds a career .867 OPS. His minor-league career culminated this season with an outstanding 1.047 OPS and 11.3% K% at Triple-A El Paso. Dickerson possesses solid power and contact ability, and he’s displayed a bit of speed in the past as well. There are concerns over his ability to hit left-handed pitching that have not been quelled by his 77 wRC+ against lefties this season. Still, he can provide plenty of value on the strong side of a platoon, especially if you play in a deeper league.
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